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Abstract ObjectiveSeizure unpredictability can be debilitating and dangerous for people with epilepsy. Accurate seizure forecasters could improve quality of life for those with epilepsy but must be practical for long‐term use. This study presents the first validation of a seizure‐forecasting system using ultra‐long‐term, non‐invasive wearable data. MethodsEleven participants with epilepsy were recruited for continuous monitoring, capturing heart rate and step count via wrist‐worn devices and seizures via electroencephalography (average recording duration of 337 days). Two hybrid models—combining machine learning and cycle‐based methods—were proposed to forecast seizures at both short (minutes) and long (up to 44 days) horizons. ResultsThe Seizure Warning System (SWS), designed for forecasting near‐term seizures, and the Seizure Risk System (SRS), designed for forecasting long‐term risk, both outperformed traditional models. In addition, the SRS reduced high‐risk time by 29% while increasing sensitivity by 11%. SignificanceThese improvements mark a significant advancement in making seizure forecasting more practical and effective. 

Neuronal activity propagates through the network during seizures, engaging brain dynamics at multiple scales. Such propagating events can be described through the avalanches framework, which can relate spatiotemporal activity at the microscale with global network properties. Interestingly, propagating avalanches in healthy networks are indicative of critical dynamics, where the network is organized to a phase transition, which optimizes certain computational properties. Some have hypothesized that the pathologic brain dynamics of epileptic seizures are an emergent property of microscale neuronal networks collectively driving the brain away from criticality. Demonstrating this would provide a unifying mechanism linking microscale spatiotemporal activity with emergent brain dysfunction during seizures. Here, we investigated the effect of drug-induced seizures on critical avalanche dynamics, usingin vivowhole-brain two-photon imaging of GCaMP6s larval zebrafish (males and females) at single neuron resolution. We demonstrate that single neuron activity across the whole brain exhibits a loss of critical statistics during seizures, suggesting that microscale activity collectively drives macroscale dynamics away from criticality. We also construct spiking network models at the scale of the larval zebrafish brain, to demonstrate that only densely connected networks can drive brain-wide seizure dynamics away from criticality. Importantly, such dense networks also disrupt the optimal computational capacities of critical networks, leading to chaotic dynamics, impaired network response properties and sticky states, thus helping to explain functional impairments during seizures. This study bridges the gap between microscale neuronal activity and emergent macroscale dynamics and cognitive dysfunction during seizures. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENTEpileptic seizures are debilitating and impair normal brain function. It is unclear how the coordinated behavior of neurons collectively impairs brain function during seizures. To investigate this we perform fluorescence microscopy in larval zebrafish, which allows for the recording of whole-brain activity at single-neuron resolution. Using techniques from physics, we show that neuronal activity during seizures drives the brain away from criticality, a regime that enables both high and low activity states, into an inflexible regime that drives high activity states. Importantly, this change is caused by more connections in the network, which we show disrupts the ability of the brain to respond appropriately to its environment. Therefore, we identify key neuronal network mechanisms driving seizures and concurrent cognitive dysfunction. 

Abstract Wearable recordings of neurophysiological signals captured from the wrist offer enormous potential for seizure monitoring. Yet, data quality remains one of the most challenging factors that impact data reliability. We suggest a combined data quality assessment tool for the evaluation of multimodal wearable data. We analyzed data from patients with epilepsy from four epilepsy centers. Patients wore wristbands recording accelerometry, electrodermal activity, blood volume pulse, and skin temperature. We calculated data completeness and assessed the time the device was worn (on-body), and modality-specific signal quality scores. We included 37,166 h from 632 patients in the inpatient and 90,776 h from 39 patients in the outpatient setting. All modalities were affected by artifacts. Data loss was higher when using data streaming (up to 49% among inpatient cohorts, averaged across respective recordings) as compared to onboard device recording and storage (up to 9%). On-body scores, estimating the percentage of time a device was worn on the body, were consistently high across cohorts (more than 80%). Signal quality of some modalities, based on established indices, was higher at night than during the day. A uniformly reported data quality and multimodal signal quality index is feasible, makes study results more comparable, and contributes to the development of devices and evaluation routines necessary for seizure monitoring. 

Modeling emission lines from the millimeter to the UV and producing synthetic spectra is crucial for a good understanding of observations, yet it is an art filled with hazards. This is the proceedings of “Walking the Line”, a 3-day conference held in 2018 that brought together scientists working on different aspects of emission line simulations, in order to share knowledge and discuss the methodology. Emission lines across the spectrum from the millimeter to the UV were discussed, with most of the focus on the interstellar medium, but also some topics on the circumgalactic medium. The most important quality of a useful model is a good synergy with observations and experiments. Challenges in simulating line emission are identified, some of which are already being worked upon, and others that must be addressed in the future for models to agree with observations. Recent advances in several areas aiming at achieving that synergy are summarized here, from micro-physical to galactic and circum-galactic scale. 

Abstract ObjectiveThe factors that influence seizure timing are poorly understood, and seizure unpredictability remains a major cause of disability. Work in chronobiology has shown that cyclical physiological phenomena are ubiquitous, with daily and multiday cycles evident in immune, endocrine, metabolic, neurological, and cardiovascular function. Additionally, work with chronic brain recordings has identified that seizure risk is linked to daily and multiday cycles in brain activity. Here, we provide the first characterization of the relationships between the cyclical modulation of a diverse set of physiological signals, brain activity, and seizure timing. MethodsIn this cohort study, 14 subjects underwent chronic ambulatory monitoring with a multimodal wrist‐worn sensor (recording heart rate, accelerometry, electrodermal activity, and temperature) and an implanted responsive neurostimulation system (recording interictal epileptiform abnormalities and electrographic seizures). Wavelet and filter–Hilbert spectral analyses characterized circadian and multiday cycles in brain and wearable recordings. Circular statistics assessed electrographic seizure timing and cycles in physiology. ResultsTen subjects met inclusion criteria. The mean recording duration was 232 days. Seven subjects had reliable electroencephalographic seizure detections (mean = 76 seizures). Multiday cycles were present in all wearable device signals across all subjects. Seizure timing was phase locked to multiday cycles in five (temperature), four (heart rate, phasic electrodermal activity), and three (accelerometry, heart rate variability, tonic electrodermal activity) subjects. Notably, after regression of behavioral covariates from heart rate, six of seven subjects had seizure phase locking to the residual heart rate signal. SignificanceSeizure timing is associated with daily and multiday cycles in multiple physiological processes. Chronic multimodal wearable device recordings can situate rare paroxysmal events, like seizures, within a broader chronobiology context of the individual. Wearable devices may advance the understanding of factors that influence seizure risk and enable personalized time‐varying approaches to epilepsy care. 

Abstract Large eddy simulation (LES) of the Martian convective boundary layer (CBL) with a Mars‐adapted version of the Weather Research and Forecasting model is used to examine the impact of aerosol dust radiative‐dynamical feedbacks on turbulent mixing. The LES is validated against spacecraft observations and prior modeling. To study dust redistribution by coherent dynamical structures within the CBL, two radiatively active dust distribution scenarios are used: one in which the dust distribution remains fixed and another in which dust is freely transported by CBL motions. In the fixed dust scenario, increasing atmospheric dust loading shades the surface from sunlight and weakens convection. However, a competing effect emerges in the free dust scenario, resulting from the lateral concentration of dust in updrafts. The resulting enhancement of dust radiative heating in upwelling plumes both generates horizontal thermal contrasts in the CBL and increases buoyancy production, jointly enhancing CBL convection. We define a dust inhomogeneity index (DII) to quantify how much dust is concentrated in upwelling plumes. If the DII is large enough, the destabilizing effect of lateral heating contrasts can exceed the stabilizing effect of surface shading such that the CBL depth increases with increasing dust optical depth. Thus, under certain combinations of total dust optical depth and the lateral inhomogeneity of dust, a positive feedback exists between dust optical depth, the vigor and depth of CBL mixing, and—to the extent that dust lifting is controlled by the depth and vigor of CBL mixing—the further lifting of dust from the surface.